Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025426 0.030630 0.036088 0.042198 0.048805 0.055698 0.063398
2025-12-28 0.019535 0.027148 0.035667 0.045707 0.057044 0.069303 0.083423
2026-01-04 0.013335 0.021748 0.031821 0.044284 0.058894 0.075154 0.094329
2026-01-11 0.010058 0.019047 0.030461 0.045138 0.062824 0.082909 0.106970
2026-01-18 0.007436 0.016601 0.028967 0.045453 0.065810 0.089331 0.117876
2026-01-25 0.005459 0.014598 0.027714 0.045800 0.068620 0.095375 0.128200
2026-02-01 0.003789 0.012624 0.026212 0.045605 0.070594 0.100299 0.137105
2026-02-08 0.002062 0.009915 0.023290 0.043265 0.069682 0.101606 0.141621
2026-02-15 0.001153 0.008330 0.021787 0.042654 0.070814 0.105271 0.148833
2026-02-22 0.000667 0.007415 0.021198 0.043213 0.073383 0.110638 0.158029
2026-03-01 0.000345 0.006662 0.020761 0.043916 0.076088 0.116137 0.167356
2026-03-08 0.000180 0.006261 0.020872 0.045376 0.079768 0.122828 0.178107
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.005508 0.020326 0.045950 0.082426 0.128460 0.187867
2026-03-22 0.000029 0.005885 0.021967 0.049868 0.089647 0.139892 0.204768
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004586 0.020147 0.048419 0.089548 0.142076 0.210385
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004102 0.019882 0.049320 0.092618 0.148245 0.220854
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003521 0.019293 0.049650 0.094867 0.153344 0.229995
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003013 0.018758 0.050013 0.097127 0.158437 0.239111
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002443 0.017920 0.049810 0.098549 0.162423 0.246835
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001551 0.015843 0.047359 0.096677 0.162068 0.249102
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001112 0.014870 0.046718 0.097340 0.164973 0.255400
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000905 0.014606 0.047304 0.099770 0.170180 0.264572
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000743 0.014437 0.048040 0.102409 0.175657 0.274080